Scientists Measure Platform Power to Accelerate Democratic Division

Groundbreaking research has precisely quantified the ability of social media platforms to accelerate political polarization. An experiment on X revealed that minimal changes to users’ content feeds can generate in one week the same level of political division that historically required three years to develop, demonstrating algorithms’ extraordinary power over democratic discourse.
The study brought together researchers from Stanford, Johns Hopkins, Northeastern, and the University of Washington to conduct a novel experiment during the 2024 presidential election. They developed a system using artificial intelligence to analyze posts in X’s “for you” feed in real-time, then manipulated what more than 1,000 participants saw. Some users received feeds with slightly more posts expressing antidemocratic views and partisan animosity, while others saw fewer such posts, all while keeping the changes imperceptible to users.
The election campaign witnessed numerous viral incidents on X, including AI-generated and manipulated images that spread widely. Since the platform’s acquisition and transformation, its algorithmic “for you” feed has prioritized content calculated to maximize engagement rather than simply showing posts from accounts users follow. This approach has generated ongoing debate about its impact on political culture and democratic institutions.
The research team measured polarization using a “feeling thermometer” approach. After one week of exposure to their modified feeds, participants rated their feelings toward political opponents on a scale from warm and favorable to cold and unfavorable. Those exposed to more divisive content showed increased negative feelings of more than two degrees on the 100-point scale. This shift matches the polarization increase that occurred over four decades in American society, from 1978 to 2020, compressed into just seven days.
Importantly, the study also demonstrated that algorithmic changes could reduce polarization. Users who saw fewer posts with antidemocratic attitudes and partisan hostility exhibited decreased political animosity by a similar magnitude. This bidirectional effect proves platforms could choose to promote political harmony through algorithmic design. While platforms have long been accused of amplifying divisive content to boost engagement and advertising revenue, the research found that down-ranking such content produced only a slight reduction in overall time spent and posts viewed, while actually increasing meaningful engagement through likes and reposts. This suggests a practical pathway for platforms to mitigate harmful societal consequences without completely sacrificing their business models.